MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Apr 2, 2026, 12:26 PM ET · Self-improving model

11-10
Record
52.4%
Win Rate
-0.30u
Units P/L
8
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-04-02
#1 1.9
MIN @ KC
Kauffman Stadium · Thu, Apr 2, 6:10 PM UTC
ML AWAY +132
at Bovada (+132) +52.9% EV
66% conf 1u
Model vs Market
-6.4
Pitcher
+0.0
Weather
0.0
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Minnesota Twins win prob: 65.9% model vs 41.4% market (24.5% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Taj Bradley (4.61 ERA) vs Cole Ragans (4.67 ERA)
  • Underdog value at +132
#2 1.5
ATL @ ARI
Chase Field · Fri, Apr 3, 1:40 AM UTC
OVER 8.5
at Hard Rock Bet (-120) +1.3% EV
55% conf 1u Model: 10 vs Market: 8.5
Model vs Market
+4.8
Pitcher
+2.0
Weather
0.0
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Model projects 10 total vs 8.5 market (+1.5 run gap)
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-04-011-4-4.13uROI: -68.8%
2026-03-314-2+1.16uROI: +19.3%
2026-03-303-0+3.27uROI: +109.0%
2026-03-292-0+2.15uROI: +107.5%
2026-03-281-3-1.75uROI: -43.8%
2026-03-270-1-1.00uROI: -100.0%
Pick History
APR
2
THU
· MIN @ KC ML AWAY +132
10:27 AM
· ATL @ ARI OVER 8.5
10:27 AM
APR
1
WED
1-4 · -4.13u
L SF @ SD ML AWAY +130
-1.50u
W TEX @ BAL ML HOME -115
+0.87u
L PIT @ CIN ML HOME +138
-1.00u
L MIN @ KC UNDER 8.5
12:26 PM -1.50u
L DET @ ARI OVER 7.5
3:29 PM -1.00u
MAR
31
TUE
4-2 · +1.16u
L WSH @ PHI ML AWAY +155
-1.00u
W NYY @ SEA ML AWAY -110
+0.91u
W BOS @ HOU ML HOME -148
+0.68u
W SF @ SD OVER 7.5
+0.83u
L COL @ TOR OVER 8
-1.00u
W ATH @ ATL UNDER 9.5
+0.74u
MAR
30
MON
3-0 · +3.27u
W CLE @ LAD ML AWAY +160
+1.60u
W BOS @ HOU OVER 8.5
+0.87u
W MIN @ KC UNDER 10.5
+0.80u
MAR
29
SUN
2-0 · +2.15u
W KC @ ATL ML AWAY +138
+1.38u
W LAA @ HOU OVER 8.5
+0.77u
MAR
28
SAT
1-3 · -1.75u
L ATH @ TOR ML AWAY +160
-1.00u
L KC @ ATL ML AWAY +127
-1.00u
L COL @ MIA ML AWAY +164
-1.00u
W TEX @ PHI ML AWAY +125
+1.25u
MAR
27
FRI
0-1 · -1.00u
L ARI @ LAD UNDER 8.5
-1.00u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
29%
Pitcher Edge
25%
Weather
15%
Line Value
12%
Line Movement
19%
Total Bias: +0.17 runs Min O/U Edge: 1.2 Min ML Edge: 1.5 Version: 8
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement