MLB Prediction Engine

Updated May 30, 2026, 5:27 PM ET · Self-improving model

65-66-1
Record
49.6%
Win Rate
-6.26u
Units P/L
67
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-05-30
#1
Scout Bet 0.25u Edge 2.5
SF @ COL
Coors Field · Sun, May 31, 1:10 AM UTC
OVER 10.5
at Hard Rock Bet (-125) +1.9% EV
57% conf Model: 13.7 vs Market: 11
Model vs Market
+7.8
Pitcher
+5.5
Weather
0.0
Line Value
+1.0
Movement
0.0
  • Model projects 13.7 total vs 11 market (+2.7 run gap)
  • Pitching favors OVER: Adrian Houser (5.3 ERA) vs Ryan Feltner (6.3 ERA)
  • Book spread: 10.5-11 (0.5 gap — market disagreement)
  • Scout pick (edge 2.5 below 2.5 threshold) — small stake for data
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-05-292-0+2.14uROI: +85.5%
2026-05-281-1-1.20uROI: -68.6%
2026-05-271-0+0.21uROI: +83.3%
2026-05-263-0+1.19uROI: +79.7%
2026-05-251-2+0.30uROI: +20.0%
2026-05-241-1-0.03uROI: -6.5%
2026-05-231-0-1+0.33uROI: +26.0%
2026-05-221-1-0.13uROI: -6.5%
2026-05-202-0+1.67uROI: +83.5%
2026-05-191-1+0.70uROI: +56.2%
2026-05-180-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-05-172-0+1.47uROI: +83.9%
2026-05-160-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-05-150-2-1.75uROI: -100.0%
Pick History
MAY
30
SAT
· SF @ COL OVER 10.5
10:30 AM
MAY
29
FRI
2-0 · +2.14u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
11:06 AM +1.30u
W PHI @ LAD UNDER 8.5
11:06 AM +0.83u
MAY
28
THU
1-1 · -1.20u
L LAA @ DET OVER 8.5
11:05 AM -1.50u
W HOU @ TEX ML AWAY +120
11:05 AM +0.30u
MAY
27
WED
1-0 · +0.21u
W ATL @ BOS UNDER 8.5
11:03 AM +0.21u
MAY
26
TUE
3-0 · +1.19u
W COL @ LAD OVER 8.5
11:02 AM +0.77u
W SEA @ ATH UNDER 9.5
11:02 AM +0.22u
W CIN @ NYM ML AWAY -120
5:37 PM +0.21u
MAY
25
MON
1-2 · +0.30u
L HOU @ TEX ML HOME -126
11:01 AM -0.25u
W HOU @ TEX OVER 7.5
5:32 PM +0.80u
L COL @ LAD OVER 8.5
5:32 PM -0.25u
MAY
24
SUN
1-1 · -0.03u
W NYM @ MIA UNDER 8.5
10:29 AM +0.22u
L DET @ BAL ML AWAY +111
5:24 PM -0.25u
MAY
23
SAT
1-0-1 · +0.33u
P COL @ ARI OVER 9
10:30 AM 0.00u
W HOU @ CHC ML AWAY +130
10:30 AM +0.33u
MAY
22
FRI
1-1 · -0.13u
L CWS @ SF UNDER 7.5
11:00 AM -1.00u
W TEX @ LAA OVER 7.5
11:00 AM +0.87u
MAY
21
THU
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
MAY
20
WED
2-0 · +1.67u
W LAD @ SD UNDER 7.5
11:03 AM +0.87u
W TOR @ NYY UNDER 8.5
11:03 AM +0.80u
MAY
19
TUE
1-1 · +0.70u
W ATL @ MIA OVER 8.5
11:02 AM +0.95u
L HOU @ MIN OVER 8.5
5:37 PM -0.25u
MAY
18
MON
0-1 · -0.25u
L CIN @ PHI OVER 9.5
11:03 AM -0.25u
MAY
17
SUN
2-0 · +1.47u
W BOS @ ATL OVER 8.5
10:29 AM +1.25u
W ARI @ COL OVER 10.5
10:29 AM +0.22u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
19%
Pitcher Edge
19%
Weather
19%
Line Value
19%
Line Movement
25%
Total Bias: -0.21 runs Min O/U Edge: 2.5 Min ML Edge: 3.0 Version: 67
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement