MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Jun 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET · Self-improving model

70-69-1
Record
50.4%
Win Rate
-7.03u
Units P/L
75
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-06-07
#1
Full Bet 1u Edge 2.9
MIL @ COL
Coors Field · Sun, Jun 7, 7:10 PM UTC
OVER 11.5
at Bovada (-110) +7.5% EV
56% conf Model: 14.1 vs Market: 11.5
Model vs Market
+8.4
Pitcher
+4.7
Weather
+2.4
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Model projects 14.1 total vs 11.5 market (+2.6 run gap)
  • Pitching favors OVER: Shane Drohan (2.87 ERA) vs Kyle Freeland (8.06 ERA)
  • Weather boosts scoring: 85.9°F, 3.8mph wind
#2
Scout Bet 0.25u Edge 2.3
LAA @ LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Sun, Jun 7, 8:10 PM UTC
ML AWAY +190
at Bovada (+190) +14.6% EV
40% conf
Model vs Market
-6.5
Pitcher
-5.2
Weather
0.0
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Los Angeles Angels win prob: 39.5% model vs 34.0% market (5.5% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: José Soriano (2.72 ERA) vs Emmet Sheehan (4.5 ERA)
  • Underdog value at +190
  • Scout pick (edge 2.3 below 3.0 threshold) — small stake for data
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-06-050-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-040-2-1.75uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-031-0+0.16uROI: +65.4%
2026-06-021-0+0.34uROI: +135.0%
2026-06-011-0+0.34uROI: +138.0%
2026-05-311-0+0.19uROI: +76.9%
2026-05-301-0+0.20uROI: +80.0%
2026-05-292-0+2.14uROI: +85.5%
2026-05-281-1-1.20uROI: -68.6%
2026-05-271-0+0.21uROI: +83.3%
2026-05-263-0+1.19uROI: +79.7%
2026-05-251-2+0.30uROI: +20.0%
2026-05-241-1-0.03uROI: -6.5%
2026-05-231-0-1+0.33uROI: +26.0%
Pick History
JUN
7
SUN
· MIL @ COL OVER 11.5
10:35 AM
· LAA @ LAD ML AWAY +190
10:35 AM
JUN
6
SAT
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
5
FRI
0-1 · -0.25u
L MIL @ COL ML HOME +130
11:00 AM -0.25u
JUN
4
THU
0-2 · -1.75u
L BAL @ BOS OVER 10.5
11:01 AM -1.50u
L PIT @ HOU ML HOME -110
11:01 AM -0.25u
JUN
3
WED
1-0 · +0.16u
W COL @ LAA ML HOME -153
11:32 AM +0.16u
JUN
2
TUE
1-0 · +0.34u
W COL @ LAA ML AWAY +135
11:21 AM +0.34u
JUN
1
MON
1-0 · +0.34u
W LAD @ ARI ML HOME +138
12:03 PM +0.34u
MAY
31
SUN
1-0 · +0.19u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
10:31 AM +0.19u
MAY
30
SAT
1-0 · +0.20u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
10:30 AM +0.20u
MAY
29
FRI
2-0 · +2.14u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
11:06 AM +1.30u
W PHI @ LAD UNDER 8.5
11:06 AM +0.83u
MAY
28
THU
1-1 · -1.20u
L LAA @ DET OVER 8.5
11:05 AM -1.50u
W HOU @ TEX ML AWAY +120
11:05 AM +0.30u
MAY
27
WED
1-0 · +0.21u
W ATL @ BOS UNDER 8.5
11:03 AM +0.21u
MAY
26
TUE
3-0 · +1.19u
W COL @ LAD OVER 8.5
11:02 AM +0.77u
W SEA @ ATH UNDER 9.5
11:02 AM +0.22u
W CIN @ NYM ML AWAY -120
5:37 PM +0.21u
MAY
25
MON
1-2 · +0.30u
L HOU @ TEX ML HOME -126
11:01 AM -0.25u
W HOU @ TEX OVER 7.5
5:32 PM +0.80u
L COL @ LAD OVER 8.5
5:32 PM -0.25u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
19%
Pitcher Edge
19%
Weather
19%
Line Value
20%
Line Movement
24%
Total Bias: +0.43 runs Min O/U Edge: 2.5 Min ML Edge: 3.0 Version: 75
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement