MLB Prediction Engine

Updated May 27, 2026, 5:40 PM ET · Self-improving model

61-65-1
Record
48.4%
Win Rate
-7.41u
Units P/L
64
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-05-27
#1
Scout Bet 0.25u Edge 1.5
ATL @ BOS
Fenway Park · Wed, May 27, 10:45 PM UTC
UNDER 8.5
at Hard Rock Bet (-120) +1.0% EV
55% conf Model: 7.4 vs Market: 8.5
Model vs Market
-2.9
Pitcher
-4.9
Weather
0.0
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Model projects 7.4 total vs 8.5 market (-1.1 run gap)
  • Pitching favors UNDER: Bryce Elder (1.97 ERA) vs Connelly Early (3.33 ERA)
  • Scout pick (edge 1.4 below 2.5 threshold) — small stake for data
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-05-263-0+1.19uROI: +79.7%
2026-05-251-2+0.30uROI: +20.0%
2026-05-241-1-0.03uROI: -6.5%
2026-05-231-0-1+0.33uROI: +26.0%
2026-05-221-1-0.13uROI: -6.5%
2026-05-202-0+1.67uROI: +83.5%
2026-05-191-1+0.70uROI: +56.2%
2026-05-180-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-05-172-0+1.47uROI: +83.9%
2026-05-160-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-05-150-2-1.75uROI: -100.0%
2026-05-140-2-0.50uROI: -100.0%
2026-05-131-0+0.22uROI: +87.0%
2026-05-123-1+3.22uROI: +75.7%
Pick History
MAY
27
WED
· ATL @ BOS UNDER 8.5
11:03 AM
MAY
26
TUE
3-0 · +1.19u
W COL @ LAD OVER 8.5
11:02 AM +0.77u
W SEA @ ATH UNDER 9.5
11:02 AM +0.22u
W CIN @ NYM ML AWAY -120
5:37 PM +0.21u
MAY
25
MON
1-2 · +0.30u
L HOU @ TEX ML HOME -126
11:01 AM -0.25u
W HOU @ TEX OVER 7.5
5:32 PM +0.80u
L COL @ LAD OVER 8.5
5:32 PM -0.25u
MAY
24
SUN
1-1 · -0.03u
W NYM @ MIA UNDER 8.5
10:29 AM +0.22u
L DET @ BAL ML AWAY +111
5:24 PM -0.25u
MAY
23
SAT
1-0-1 · +0.33u
P COL @ ARI OVER 9
10:30 AM 0.00u
W HOU @ CHC ML AWAY +130
10:30 AM +0.33u
MAY
22
FRI
1-1 · -0.13u
L CWS @ SF UNDER 7.5
11:00 AM -1.00u
W TEX @ LAA OVER 7.5
11:00 AM +0.87u
MAY
21
THU
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
MAY
20
WED
2-0 · +1.67u
W LAD @ SD UNDER 7.5
11:03 AM +0.87u
W TOR @ NYY UNDER 8.5
11:03 AM +0.80u
MAY
19
TUE
1-1 · +0.70u
W ATL @ MIA OVER 8.5
11:02 AM +0.95u
L HOU @ MIN OVER 8.5
5:37 PM -0.25u
MAY
18
MON
0-1 · -0.25u
L CIN @ PHI OVER 9.5
11:03 AM -0.25u
MAY
17
SUN
2-0 · +1.47u
W BOS @ ATL OVER 8.5
10:29 AM +1.25u
W ARI @ COL OVER 10.5
10:29 AM +0.22u
MAY
16
SAT
0-1 · -0.25u
L LAD @ LAA UNDER 8.5
10:27 AM -0.25u
MAY
15
FRI
0-2 · -1.75u
L ARI @ COL OVER 11.5
10:48 AM -1.50u
L LAD @ LAA ML HOME +190
10:48 AM -0.25u
MAY
14
THU
0-2 · -0.50u
L SEA @ HOU ML HOME +110
10:51 AM -0.25u
L SF @ LAD ML AWAY +150
5:32 PM -0.25u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
19%
Pitcher Edge
19%
Weather
19%
Line Value
19%
Line Movement
25%
Total Bias: +0.23 runs Min O/U Edge: 2.5 Min ML Edge: 3.0 Version: 64
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement