MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Mar 30, 2026, 9:35 AM ET · Self-improving model

2-2
Record
50.0%
Win Rate
+0.15u
Units P/L
4
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-03-30
#1 1.6
CLE @ LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Tue, Mar 31, 2:10 AM UTC
ML AWAY +161
at Bovada (+161) +21.4% EV
47% conf 1u
Model vs Market
-2.9
Pitcher
-5.5
Weather
-0.9
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Cleveland Guardians win prob: 46.5% model vs 36.8% market (9.7% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Parker Messick (2.72 ERA) vs Roki Sasaki (4.46 ERA)
  • Underdog value at +161
#2 1.3
BOS @ HOU
Daikin Park · Tue, Mar 31, 12:10 AM UTC
OVER 8.5
at Hard Rock Bet (-115) +1.5% EV
54% conf 1u Model: 9.7 vs Market: 8.5
Model vs Market
+3.6
Pitcher
+2.3
Weather
0.0
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Model projects 9.7 total vs 8.5 market (+1.2 run gap)
  • Pitching favors OVER: Ranger Suarez (3.2 ERA) vs Lance McCullers Jr. (6.51 ERA)
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-03-292-0+2.15uROI: +107.5%
2026-03-280-1-1.00uROI: -100.0%
2026-03-270-1-1.00uROI: -100.0%
Pick History
2026-03-30 CLE@LAD ML AWAY +161BOS@HOU OVER 8.5
2026-03-29 KC@ATL ML AWAY +138LAA@HOU OVER 8.5
2026-03-28 KC@ATL ML AWAY +129
2026-03-27 ARI@LAD UNDER 8.5
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
30%
Pitcher Edge
25%
Weather
20%
Line Value
10%
Line Movement
15%
Total Bias: +0.67 runs Min O/U Edge: 1.2 Min ML Edge: 1.5 Version: 4
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement