MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Jun 8, 2026, 5:38 PM ET · Self-improving model

72-69-1
Record
51.1%
Win Rate
-5.65u
Units P/L
76
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-06-08
#1
Scout Bet 0.25u Edge 2.5
HOU @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Tue, Jun 9, 1:38 AM UTC
ML AWAY -130
at Hard Rock Bet (-130) +1.5% EV
57% conf
Model vs Market
-3.5
Pitcher
-10.0
Weather
-0.9
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Houston Astros win prob: 57.4% model vs 54.4% market (3.0% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (1.94 ERA) vs Grayson Rodriguez (9.5 ERA)
  • Scout pick (edge 2.5 below 3.0 threshold) — small stake for data
#2
Full Bet 1u Edge 2.6
MIL @ ATH
Las Vegas Ballpark · Tue, Jun 9, 2:05 AM UTC
UNDER 11
at Bovada (-120) +0.3% EV
55% conf Model: 7.3 vs Market: 11
Model vs Market
-9.1
Pitcher
-3.9
Weather
0.0
Line Value
-1.0
Movement
0.0
  • Model projects 7.3 total vs 11 market (-3.7 run gap)
  • Pitching favors UNDER: Kyle Harrison (1.57 ERA) vs Jeffrey Springs (4.37 ERA)
  • Book spread: 10.5-11 (0.5 gap — market disagreement)
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-06-072-0+1.38uROI: +110.7%
2026-06-050-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-040-2-1.75uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-031-0+0.16uROI: +65.4%
2026-06-021-0+0.34uROI: +135.0%
2026-06-011-0+0.34uROI: +138.0%
2026-05-311-0+0.19uROI: +76.9%
2026-05-301-0+0.20uROI: +80.0%
2026-05-292-0+2.14uROI: +85.5%
2026-05-281-1-1.20uROI: -68.6%
2026-05-271-0+0.21uROI: +83.3%
2026-05-263-0+1.19uROI: +79.7%
2026-05-251-2+0.30uROI: +20.0%
2026-05-241-1-0.03uROI: -6.5%
Pick History
JUN
8
MON
· HOU @ LAA ML AWAY -130
11:06 AM
· MIL @ ATH UNDER 11
5:38 PM
JUN
7
SUN
2-0 · +1.38u
W MIL @ COL OVER 11.5
10:35 AM +0.91u
W LAA @ LAD ML AWAY +190
10:35 AM +0.47u
JUN
6
SAT
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
5
FRI
0-1 · -0.25u
L MIL @ COL ML HOME +130
11:00 AM -0.25u
JUN
4
THU
0-2 · -1.75u
L BAL @ BOS OVER 10.5
11:01 AM -1.50u
L PIT @ HOU ML HOME -110
11:01 AM -0.25u
JUN
3
WED
1-0 · +0.16u
W COL @ LAA ML HOME -153
11:32 AM +0.16u
JUN
2
TUE
1-0 · +0.34u
W COL @ LAA ML AWAY +135
11:21 AM +0.34u
JUN
1
MON
1-0 · +0.34u
W LAD @ ARI ML HOME +138
12:03 PM +0.34u
MAY
31
SUN
1-0 · +0.19u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
10:31 AM +0.19u
MAY
30
SAT
1-0 · +0.20u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
10:30 AM +0.20u
MAY
29
FRI
2-0 · +2.14u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
11:06 AM +1.30u
W PHI @ LAD UNDER 8.5
11:06 AM +0.83u
MAY
28
THU
1-1 · -1.20u
L LAA @ DET OVER 8.5
11:05 AM -1.50u
W HOU @ TEX ML AWAY +120
11:05 AM +0.30u
MAY
27
WED
1-0 · +0.21u
W ATL @ BOS UNDER 8.5
11:03 AM +0.21u
MAY
26
TUE
3-0 · +1.19u
W COL @ LAD OVER 8.5
11:02 AM +0.77u
W SEA @ ATH UNDER 9.5
11:02 AM +0.22u
W CIN @ NYM ML AWAY -120
5:37 PM +0.21u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
19%
Pitcher Edge
19%
Weather
19%
Line Value
20%
Line Movement
24%
Total Bias: +0.58 runs Min O/U Edge: 2.5 Min ML Edge: 3.0 Version: 76
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement