MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Jun 27, 2026, 10:30 AM ET · Self-improving model

82-84-1
Record
49.4%
Win Rate
-9.26u
Units P/L
95
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-06-27
#1
Full Bet 1u Edge 2.6
CHC @ MIL
American Family Field · Sat, Jun 27, 11:10 PM UTC
ML HOME -162
at Bovada (-162) -3.0% EV
60% conf
Model vs Market
+4.2
Pitcher
+10.0
Weather
0.0
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Milwaukee Brewers win prob: 60.0% model vs 59.6% market (0.4% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Kyle Harrison (2.5 ERA) vs David Peterson (6.09 ERA)
#2
Full Bet 1u Edge 2.4
COL @ MIN
Target Field · Sat, Jun 27, 11:10 PM UTC
ML HOME -143
at Bovada (-143) -1.9% EV
58% conf
Model vs Market
+3.6
Pitcher
+10.0
Weather
0.0
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Minnesota Twins win prob: 57.8% model vs 56.5% market (1.3% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Mike Paredes (4.05 ERA) vs Michael Lorenzen (7.11 ERA)
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-06-263-1+1.92uROI: +59.0%
2026-06-231-2-0.34uROI: -15.2%
2026-06-220-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-211-1-0.53uROI: -42.0%
2026-06-190-1-1.00uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-181-0+0.36uROI: +145.0%
2026-06-170-2-0.50uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-160-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-150-2-1.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-142-0+0.83uROI: +165.5%
2026-06-111-0+0.21uROI: +83.3%
2026-06-100-2-1.75uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-090-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-081-1-0.81uROI: -64.6%
Pick History
JUN
27
SAT
· CHC @ MIL ML HOME -162
10:30 AM
· COL @ MIN ML HOME -143
10:30 AM
JUN
26
FRI
3-1 · +1.92u
W ARI @ TB ML HOME -140
10:52 AM +0.71u
L WSH @ BAL ML AWAY +115
10:52 AM -0.25u
W KC @ CWS OVER 8.5
5:35 PM +0.83u
W PHI @ NYM ML AWAY -161
5:35 PM +0.62u
JUN
25
THU
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
24
WED
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
23
TUE
1-2 · -0.34u
L MIL @ CIN OVER 9.5
11:00 AM -1.00u
W CHC @ NYM OVER 8.5
5:39 PM +0.91u
L PHI @ WSH ML HOME +150
5:39 PM -0.25u
JUN
22
MON
0-1 · -0.25u
· CHC @ NYM OVER 8.5
11:38 AM
L LAD @ MIN ML HOME +130
11:38 AM -0.25u
JUN
21
SUN
1-1 · -0.53u
L CLE @ HOU OVER 8.5
10:45 AM -1.00u
W BAL @ LAD ML AWAY +190
10:45 AM +0.47u
JUN
20
SAT
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
19
FRI
0-1 · -1.00u
L LAA @ ATH ML AWAY +140
11:01 AM -1.00u
JUN
18
THU
1-0 · +0.36u
W CWS @ NYY ML AWAY +145
5:46 PM +0.36u
JUN
17
WED
0-2 · -0.50u
L COL @ CHC ML AWAY +160
11:04 AM -0.25u
L CLE @ MIL ML AWAY +107
5:44 PM -0.25u
JUN
16
TUE
0-1 · -0.25u
L MIA @ PHI ML AWAY +146
11:38 AM -0.25u
JUN
15
MON
0-2 · -1.25u
L TB @ LAD ML AWAY +141
11:57 AM -1.00u
L LAA @ ARI ML AWAY +110
11:57 AM -0.25u
JUN
14
SUN
2-0 · +0.83u
W COL @ ATH ML AWAY +166
10:44 AM +0.41u
W LAD @ CWS ML HOME +165
12:42 PM +0.41u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
18%
Pitcher Edge
18%
Weather
19%
Line Value
20%
Line Movement
25%
Total Bias: +0.81 runs Min O/U Edge: 1.2 Min ML Edge: 1.5 Version: 95
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement