MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Sep 28, 2026, 3:59 AM ET · Self-improving model

160-172-1
Record
48.2%
Win Rate
-13.54u
Units P/L
84
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-09-28
⏸
Strategic Pass
No edges meet minimum threshold today. Discipline over action.
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-09-261-1+0.01uROI: +2.5%
2026-09-251-1+0.03uROI: +7.0%
2026-09-242-0+0.65uROI: +129.5%
2026-09-230-2-0.50uROI: -100.0%
2026-09-222-0+0.53uROI: +105.0%
2026-09-200-2-0.50uROI: -100.0%
2026-09-191-2-0.22uROI: -29.3%
2026-09-180-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-09-162-1+0.37uROI: +49.3%
2026-09-150-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-09-141-1+0.04uROI: +9.0%
2026-09-131-1+0.16uROI: +32.5%
2026-09-121-1+0.03uROI: +5.0%
2026-09-112-1+1.05uROI: +70.0%
Pick History
SEP
27
SUN
· CIN @ TOR ML AWAY +149
3:21 AM
· TEX @ MIN OVER 8.5
3:21 AM
· TB @ PHI UNDER 6.5
11:26 AM
SEP
26
SAT
1-1 · +0.01u
L STL @ MIL ML AWAY +155
2:52 AM -0.25u
W TB @ PHI ML AWAY +105
7:27 PM +0.26u
SEP
25
FRI
1-1 · +0.03u
W LAA @ SEA ML AWAY +114
2:51 AM +0.28u
L LAA @ SEA UNDER 6.5
11:38 AM -0.25u
SEP
24
THU
2-0 · +0.65u
W SD @ LAD ML AWAY +145
2:57 AM +0.36u
W MIL @ PHI ML AWAY +114
11:34 AM +0.28u
SEP
23
WED
0-2 · -0.50u
L TOR @ BAL OVER 7.5
3:00 AM -0.25u
L HOU @ SEA ML AWAY +110
7:31 PM -0.25u
SEP
22
TUE
2-0 · +0.53u
W LAA @ ATH OVER 9.5
3:03 AM +0.25u
W CLE @ BOS ML AWAY +110
11:13 AM +0.28u
SEP
21
MON
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
SEP
20
SUN
0-2 · -0.50u
L ATH @ CLE OVER 7.5
3:16 AM -0.25u
L SF @ LAD ML AWAY +220
10:22 AM -0.25u
SEP
19
SAT
1-2 · -0.22u
W WSH @ STL ML AWAY +112
2:51 AM +0.28u
L SEA @ COL OVER 11.5
10:02 AM -0.25u
L ATL @ HOU UNDER 8.5
6:49 PM -0.25u
SEP
18
FRI
0-1 · -0.25u
L SF @ LAD ML AWAY +250
2:52 AM -0.25u
SEP
17
THU
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
SEP
16
WED
2-1 · +0.37u
W MIA @ ARI ML AWAY +116
3:00 AM +0.29u
W SF @ STL ML AWAY +132
3:00 AM +0.33u
L DET @ TOR ML AWAY +114
11:11 AM -0.25u
SEP
15
TUE
0-1 · -0.25u
L KC @ HOU ML AWAY +139
2:58 AM -0.25u
SEP
14
MON
1-1 · +0.04u
L ATL @ CHC ML AWAY +114
3:22 AM -0.25u
W DET @ TOR ML AWAY +118
12:40 PM +0.29u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
30%
Pitcher Edge
29%
Line Value
15%
Line Movement
27%
Total Bias: +0.21 runs Min O/U Edge: 1.2 Min ML Edge: 1.5 Version: 84
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement