MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Jun 18, 2026, 5:46 PM ET · Self-improving model

76-78-1
Record
49.4%
Win Rate
-9.42u
Units P/L
86
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-06-18
#1
Scout Bet 0.25u Edge 1.8
CWS @ NYY
Yankee Stadium · Thu, Jun 18, 11:05 PM UTC
ML AWAY +145
at Hard Rock Bet (+145) +1.3% EV
41% conf
Model vs Market
-2.5
Pitcher
-5.5
Weather
+0.9
Line Value
0.0
Movement
-2.8
  • Chicago White Sox win prob: 41.3% model vs 39.3% market (2.0% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Bryan Hudson (2.45 ERA) vs Ryan Weathers (4.36 ERA)
  • Underdog value at +145
  • Scout pick (edge 1.8 below 2.4 threshold) — small stake for data
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-06-170-2-0.50uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-160-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-150-2-1.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-142-0+0.83uROI: +165.5%
2026-06-111-0+0.21uROI: +83.3%
2026-06-100-2-1.75uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-090-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-081-1-0.81uROI: -64.6%
2026-06-072-0+1.38uROI: +110.7%
2026-06-050-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-040-2-1.75uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-031-0+0.16uROI: +65.4%
2026-06-021-0+0.34uROI: +135.0%
2026-06-011-0+0.34uROI: +138.0%
Pick History
JUN
18
THU
· CWS @ NYY ML AWAY +145
5:46 PM
JUN
17
WED
0-2 · -0.50u
L COL @ CHC ML AWAY +160
11:04 AM -0.25u
L CLE @ MIL ML AWAY +107
5:44 PM -0.25u
JUN
16
TUE
0-1 · -0.25u
L MIA @ PHI ML AWAY +146
11:38 AM -0.25u
JUN
15
MON
0-2 · -1.25u
L TB @ LAD ML AWAY +141
11:57 AM -1.00u
L LAA @ ARI ML AWAY +110
11:57 AM -0.25u
JUN
14
SUN
2-0 · +0.83u
W COL @ ATH ML AWAY +166
10:44 AM +0.41u
W LAD @ CWS ML HOME +165
12:42 PM +0.41u
JUN
13
SAT
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
12
FRI
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
11
THU
1-0 · +0.21u
W ARI @ MIA ML HOME -120
11:09 AM +0.21u
JUN
10
WED
0-2 · -1.75u
L CHC @ COL OVER 11.5
11:03 AM -1.50u
L ARI @ MIA OVER 8.5
5:44 PM -0.25u
JUN
9
TUE
0-1 · -0.25u
L LAD @ PIT ML HOME -110
11:25 AM -0.25u
JUN
8
MON
1-1 · -0.81u
W HOU @ LAA ML AWAY -130
11:06 AM +0.19u
L MIL @ ATH UNDER 11
5:38 PM -1.00u
JUN
7
SUN
2-0 · +1.38u
W MIL @ COL OVER 11.5
10:35 AM +0.91u
W LAA @ LAD ML AWAY +190
10:35 AM +0.47u
JUN
6
SAT
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
5
FRI
0-1 · -0.25u
L MIL @ COL ML HOME +130
11:00 AM -0.25u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
18%
Pitcher Edge
18%
Weather
19%
Line Value
20%
Line Movement
25%
Total Bias: +1.01 runs Min O/U Edge: 1.7 Min ML Edge: 2.4 Version: 86
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement