MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Jun 5, 2026, 5:36 PM ET · Self-improving model

70-68-1
Record
50.7%
Win Rate
-6.78u
Units P/L
73
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-06-05
#1
Scout Bet 0.25u Edge 2.1
MIL @ COL
Coors Field · Sat, Jun 6, 12:40 AM UTC
ML HOME +130
at Bovada (+130) +3.7% EV
45% conf
Model vs Market
+5.3
Pitcher
+4.6
Weather
0.0
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Colorado Rockies win prob: 45.1% model vs 41.7% market (3.4% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Ryan Feltner (4.85 ERA) vs Brandon Sproat (6.24 ERA)
  • Underdog value at +130
  • Scout pick (edge 2.1 below 3.0 threshold) — small stake for data
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-06-040-2-1.75uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-031-0+0.16uROI: +65.4%
2026-06-021-0+0.34uROI: +135.0%
2026-06-011-0+0.34uROI: +138.0%
2026-05-311-0+0.19uROI: +76.9%
2026-05-301-0+0.20uROI: +80.0%
2026-05-292-0+2.14uROI: +85.5%
2026-05-281-1-1.20uROI: -68.6%
2026-05-271-0+0.21uROI: +83.3%
2026-05-263-0+1.19uROI: +79.7%
2026-05-251-2+0.30uROI: +20.0%
2026-05-241-1-0.03uROI: -6.5%
2026-05-231-0-1+0.33uROI: +26.0%
2026-05-221-1-0.13uROI: -6.5%
Pick History
JUN
5
FRI
· MIL @ COL ML HOME +130
11:00 AM
JUN
4
THU
0-2 · -1.75u
L BAL @ BOS OVER 10.5
11:01 AM -1.50u
L PIT @ HOU ML HOME -110
11:01 AM -0.25u
JUN
3
WED
1-0 · +0.16u
W COL @ LAA ML HOME -153
11:32 AM +0.16u
JUN
2
TUE
1-0 · +0.34u
W COL @ LAA ML AWAY +135
11:21 AM +0.34u
JUN
1
MON
1-0 · +0.34u
W LAD @ ARI ML HOME +138
12:03 PM +0.34u
MAY
31
SUN
1-0 · +0.19u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
10:31 AM +0.19u
MAY
30
SAT
1-0 · +0.20u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
10:30 AM +0.20u
MAY
29
FRI
2-0 · +2.14u
W SF @ COL OVER 10.5
11:06 AM +1.30u
W PHI @ LAD UNDER 8.5
11:06 AM +0.83u
MAY
28
THU
1-1 · -1.20u
L LAA @ DET OVER 8.5
11:05 AM -1.50u
W HOU @ TEX ML AWAY +120
11:05 AM +0.30u
MAY
27
WED
1-0 · +0.21u
W ATL @ BOS UNDER 8.5
11:03 AM +0.21u
MAY
26
TUE
3-0 · +1.19u
W COL @ LAD OVER 8.5
11:02 AM +0.77u
W SEA @ ATH UNDER 9.5
11:02 AM +0.22u
W CIN @ NYM ML AWAY -120
5:37 PM +0.21u
MAY
25
MON
1-2 · +0.30u
L HOU @ TEX ML HOME -126
11:01 AM -0.25u
W HOU @ TEX OVER 7.5
5:32 PM +0.80u
L COL @ LAD OVER 8.5
5:32 PM -0.25u
MAY
24
SUN
1-1 · -0.03u
W NYM @ MIA UNDER 8.5
10:29 AM +0.22u
L DET @ BAL ML AWAY +111
5:24 PM -0.25u
MAY
23
SAT
1-0-1 · +0.33u
P COL @ ARI OVER 9
10:30 AM 0.00u
W HOU @ CHC ML AWAY +130
10:30 AM +0.33u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
19%
Pitcher Edge
19%
Weather
19%
Line Value
20%
Line Movement
24%
Total Bias: +0.43 runs Min O/U Edge: 2.5 Min ML Edge: 3.0 Version: 73
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement