MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Jun 30, 2026, 5:37 PM ET · Self-improving model

85-86-1
Record
49.7%
Win Rate
-9.30u
Units P/L
98
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-06-30
#1
Full Bet 1u Edge 2.3
DET @ NYY
Yankee Stadium · Tue, Jun 30, 11:05 PM UTC
ML HOME -124
at Bovada (-124) +1.2% EV
56% conf
Model vs Market
+5.5
Pitcher
+5.2
Weather
+0.9
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • New York Yankees win prob: 56.0% model vs 53.1% market (2.9% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Cam Schlittler (1.62 ERA) vs Tarik Skubal (3.32 ERA)
#2
Full Bet 1u Edge 2.6
STL @ ATL
Truist Park · Tue, Jun 30, 11:15 PM UTC
ML HOME -145
at Bovada (-145) -1.3% EV
58% conf
Model vs Market
+2.9
Pitcher
+8.6
Weather
+2.4
Line Value
0.0
Movement
0.0
  • Atlanta Braves win prob: 58.4% model vs 57.1% market (1.3% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Martín Pérez (3 ERA) vs Matthew Liberatore (5.56 ERA)
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-06-292-0+1.60uROI: +80.2%
2026-06-281-0+0.36uROI: +145.0%
2026-06-270-2-2.00uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-263-1+1.92uROI: +59.0%
2026-06-231-2-0.34uROI: -15.2%
2026-06-220-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-211-1-0.53uROI: -42.0%
2026-06-190-1-1.00uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-181-0+0.36uROI: +145.0%
2026-06-170-2-0.50uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-160-1-0.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-150-2-1.25uROI: -100.0%
2026-06-142-0+0.83uROI: +165.5%
2026-06-111-0+0.21uROI: +83.3%
Pick History
JUN
30
TUE
· DET @ NYY ML HOME -124
10:50 AM
· STL @ ATL ML HOME -145
10:50 AM
JUN
29
MON
2-0 · +1.60u
W LAA @ SEA OVER 7.5
11:08 AM +0.87u
W SF @ ARI ML HOME -136
11:08 AM +0.74u
JUN
28
SUN
1-0 · +0.36u
W CHC @ MIL ML AWAY +145
10:33 AM +0.36u
JUN
27
SAT
0-2 · -2.00u
L CHC @ MIL ML HOME -162
10:30 AM -1.00u
L COL @ MIN ML HOME -143
10:30 AM -1.00u
JUN
26
FRI
3-1 · +1.92u
W ARI @ TB ML HOME -140
10:52 AM +0.71u
L WSH @ BAL ML AWAY +115
10:52 AM -0.25u
W KC @ CWS OVER 8.5
5:35 PM +0.83u
W PHI @ NYM ML AWAY -161
5:35 PM +0.62u
JUN
25
THU
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
24
WED
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
23
TUE
1-2 · -0.34u
L MIL @ CIN OVER 9.5
11:00 AM -1.00u
W CHC @ NYM OVER 8.5
5:39 PM +0.91u
L PHI @ WSH ML HOME +150
5:39 PM -0.25u
JUN
22
MON
0-1 · -0.25u
· CHC @ NYM OVER 8.5
11:38 AM
L LAD @ MIN ML HOME +130
11:38 AM -0.25u
JUN
21
SUN
1-1 · -0.53u
L CLE @ HOU OVER 8.5
10:45 AM -1.00u
W BAL @ LAD ML AWAY +190
10:45 AM +0.47u
JUN
20
SAT
Strategic pass — no edges met threshold
JUN
19
FRI
0-1 · -1.00u
L LAA @ ATH ML AWAY +140
11:01 AM -1.00u
JUN
18
THU
1-0 · +0.36u
W CWS @ NYY ML AWAY +145
5:46 PM +0.36u
JUN
17
WED
0-2 · -0.50u
L COL @ CHC ML AWAY +160
11:04 AM -0.25u
L CLE @ MIL ML AWAY +107
5:44 PM -0.25u
Model Weights (Learned)
Model vs Market
18%
Pitcher Edge
18%
Weather
18%
Line Value
20%
Line Movement
25%
Total Bias: +0.53 runs Min O/U Edge: 1.2 Min ML Edge: 1.5 Version: 98
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement