MLB Prediction Engine

Updated Mar 29, 2026, 5:51 PM ET · Self-improving model

0-2
Record
0.0%
Win Rate
-2.00u
Units P/L
1
Model Version
Today's Picks — 2026-03-29
#1 1.6
KC @ ATL
Truist Park · Sun, Mar 29, 5:35 PM UTC
ML AWAY +138
at Bovada (+138) +10.7% EV
47% conf 1u
Model vs Market
-1.8
Pitcher
+0.4
Weather
0.0
Line Value
0.0
Movement
-10.0
  • Kansas City Royals win prob: 46.5% model vs 40.6% market (5.9% edge)
  • Pitching matchup: Seth Lugo (4.15 ERA) vs Grant Holmes (3.99 ERA)
  • Underdog value at +138
#2 1.8
LAA @ HOU
Daikin Park · Sun, Mar 29, 6:10 PM UTC
OVER 8.5
at Hard Rock Bet (-130) -2.5% EV
55% conf 1u Model: 9.9 vs Market: 9
Model vs Market
+2.7
Pitcher
0.0
Weather
+0.9
Line Value
+1.0
Movement
+9.5
  • Model projects 9.9 total vs 9 market (+0.9 run gap)
  • Book spread: 8.5-9 (0.5 gap — market disagreement)
  • Line movement signal: sharp money on OVER
Results Log
DateRecordP/LROI
2026-03-280-1-1.00uROI: -100.0%
2026-03-270-1-1.00uROI: -100.0%
Pick History
2026-03-29 KC@ATL ML AWAY +138LAA@HOU OVER 8.5
2026-03-28 KC@ATL ML AWAY +129
2026-03-27 ARI@LAD UNDER 8.5
Model Weights (Learned)
No learning data yet — model using default weights
MLB Prediction Engine v2 · Self-improving edge detection
5 factors: Model vs Market, Pitcher, Weather, Line Value, Line Movement